Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cosenza Calcio win with a probability of 40.7%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 30.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (10.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.02) 
