Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 53.57%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 21.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.58%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.
0.16) 
-0.07) 
