Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 58.06%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 17.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.01%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.34%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.
0.22) 
-0.04) 
