Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 47.4%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 24.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (8.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (9.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brescia in this match.
-0.41) 
0.53) 
