Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 40.51%. A win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
1.32) 
-1.72) 
