Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cosenza Calcio win with a probability of 41.03%. A win for Parma had a probability of 33.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cosenza Calcio win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (8.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
-0.36) 
0.09) 
