Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 59.68%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 16.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.02%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
0.28) 
-0.1) 
