SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Venezia win with a probability of 57.13%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 19.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Venezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.04%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 5-3 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Venezia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Venezia | Draw | Sampdoria |
57.13% ( 2.35) | 23.22% ( -0.51) | 19.65% ( -1.83) |
| Both teams to score 50.49% ( -1.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.92% ( -0.15) | 49.08% ( 0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.85% ( -0.14) | 71.15% ( 0.13) |
| Venezia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.05% ( 0.79) | 16.94% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.97% ( 1.39) | 47.02% ( -1.39) |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.79% ( -1.98) | 39.2% ( 1.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.08% ( -1.91) | 75.91% ( 1.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Venezia | Draw | Sampdoria |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.38) 2-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.59)2-1 @ 9.8% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.17)4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.29)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.14)4-2 @ 1.21% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.13)5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.94% Total : 57.12% | 1-1 @ 11.04% ( -0.24) 0-0 @ 6.64% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.94% Total : 23.21% | 0-1 @ 6.22% ( -0.3) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 2.91% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.22)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.15)Other @ 1.39% Total : 19.65% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
