SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 41.45%. A win for Cove Rangers had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.11%) and 0-1 (4.88%). The likeliest Cove Rangers win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
36.82% ( -0.43) | 21.72% ( -0.19) | 41.45% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 70.36% ( 0.69) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.67% ( 0.91) | 29.32% ( -0.91) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.62% ( 1.09) | 50.37% ( -1.1) |
| Cove Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( 0.21) | 17.04% ( -0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.8% ( 0.38) | 47.19% ( -0.38) |
| Alloa Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.81% ( 0.61) | 15.19% ( -0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.19% ( 1.14) | 43.81% ( -1.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cove Rangers | Draw | Alloa Athletic |
| 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.13) 1-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 4.5% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 4.25% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.16)3-0 @ 2.39% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.99% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.03)4-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.31% Total : 36.82% | 1-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 7.2% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.67% ( 0.09)0-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.64% Total : 21.72% | 1-2 @ 8.13% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 5.11% ( 0.09)0-1 @ 4.88% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 4.6% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 4.52% ( 0.11)0-3 @ 2.89% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.09)2-4 @ 2.13% ( 0.1)0-4 @ 1.36% ( 0.04)3-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.07)1-5 @ 0.91% ( 0.05)Other @ 3.26% Total : 41.45% |
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