Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cove Rangers win with a probability of 58.89%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Alloa Athletic had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cove Rangers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.38%), while for an Alloa Athletic win it was 0-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cove Rangers would win this match.
