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League Two | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Alexandra Stadium
FG

Crewe
0 - 3
Forest Green


Nevitt (43'), Kirk (75'), Adebisi (76')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Garrick (13', 26'), Robson (27')
Inniss (43'), Osadebe (52'), Jones (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gillingham 0-0 Crewe
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Crewe Alexandra 2-0 Forest Green Rovers

While Crewe have suffered a slump in form in recent weeks, they will be backing themselves against an out-of-sorts Forest Green side who have lost their last three games. Bell's men have been rock-solid at home this season and we fancy them to come away with maximum points here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 50.35%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 25.6% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 (6.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result
Crewe AlexandraDrawForest Green Rovers
50.35% (0.018999999999998 0.02) 24.05% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 25.6% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 55.43% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.77% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)46.23% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.47% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)68.52% (0.01400000000001 0.01)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.59% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.4% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.93% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)32.07% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.46% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)68.53% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Crewe Alexandra 50.35%
    Forest Green Rovers 25.6%
    Draw 24.05%
Crewe AlexandraDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 9.99% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.62% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.77% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.09% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 2.02% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.31%
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 50.35%
1-1 @ 11.36%
0-0 @ 5.9% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.47% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.17% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.05%
0-1 @ 6.71%
1-2 @ 6.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 25.6%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Gillingham 0-0 Crewe
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-0 Crewe
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-3 Stockport
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-0 Forest Green
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 0-1 Sutton
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Bradford 0-2 Forest Green
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Forest Green 2-0 Walsall
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-0 Forest Green
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two


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