Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 43.18%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.91%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crewe Alexandra would win this match.
Result | ||
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
30.74% (![]() | 26.08% (![]() | 43.18% (![]() |
Both teams to score 52.55% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.3% (![]() | 51.7% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.52% (![]() | 73.47% (![]() |
Forest Green Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.95% (![]() | 31.05% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.63% (![]() | 67.37% (![]() |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.21% (![]() | 23.78% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.06% (![]() | 57.94% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Forest Green Rovers | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
1-0 @ 8.64% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.25% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.05% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.83% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.03% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.97% ( ![]() Other @ 2.97% Total : 30.74% | 1-1 @ 12.4% (![]() 0-0 @ 7.38% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.21% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.07% | 0-1 @ 10.6% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.91% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.62% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.27% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.65% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.49% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.53% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 2.81% Total : 43.18% |
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