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League Two | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
MEMS Priestfield Stadium
CA

Gillingham
0 - 0
Crewe


Morris (46'), Ehmer (82')
FT

Cooney (70'), Austerfield (74'), Turns (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Morecambe 2-3 Gillingham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Gillingham 1-1 Crewe Alexandra

Despite their relatively lofty positions in League Two's table, neither team have been in particularly good form of late, winning just two matches from their last 10 games combined. As such, we can envisage both managers being content with avoiding defeat on Friday, as they look to remain in contention to claim one of the four playoff spots on offer. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 27.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
47.64% (0.061999999999998 0.06) 25.31% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02) 27.05% (-0.041 -0.04)
Both teams to score 52.68% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.55% (0.061999999999998 0.06)50.45% (-0.063000000000002 -0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.62% (0.053999999999998 0.05)72.38% (-0.055000000000007 -0.06)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.8% (0.052000000000007 0.05)21.19% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.93% (0.081000000000003 0.08)54.07% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Crewe Alexandra Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.85% (0.0010000000000048 0)33.14% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.25% (0.0030000000000001 0)69.74% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 47.63%
    Crewe Alexandra 27.05%
    Draw 25.3%
GillinghamDrawCrewe Alexandra
1-0 @ 10.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.46% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.83% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.37% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.7% (0.006 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 47.63%
1-1 @ 12.03% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-3 @ 0.98% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.3%
0-1 @ 7.76% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 6.65% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.45% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.9% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.58% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 27.05%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Morecambe 2-3 Gillingham
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Grimsby Town
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Gillingham 1-1 Tranmere
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Barrow 2-0 Gillingham
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Salford City 0-2 Gillingham
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-1 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: MK Dons 3-1 Crewe
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 1-0 Sutton
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Doncaster 2-0 Crewe
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Crewe 2-3 Morecambe
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Notts County 1-3 Crewe
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League Two


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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