Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 57.36%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 21.57% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.22%) and 1-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-2 (5.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
Result | ||
MK Dons | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
57.36% (![]() | 21.08% (![]() | 21.57% (![]() |
Both teams to score 60.73% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.04% (![]() | 36.96% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
40.85% (![]() | 59.15% (![]() |
MK Dons Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.23% (![]() | 12.77% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.96% (![]() | 39.04% (![]() |
Crewe Alexandra Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.61% (![]() | 30.39% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.42% (![]() | 66.58% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
MK Dons | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
2-1 @ 9.79% (![]() 2-0 @ 8.22% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 7.98% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 6.72% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 4% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.46% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.9% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 2.06% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.42% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 3.97% Total : 57.36% | 1-1 @ 9.51% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.88% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.59% ( ![]() Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.08% | 1-2 @ 5.67% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.32% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.09% ( ![]() Other @ 2.87% Total : 21.57% |
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