SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crewe Alexandra win with a probability of 46.09%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crewe Alexandra win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Morecambe |
46.09% ( -0.05) | 24.21% ( -0.01) | 29.7% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 58.17% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.89% ( 0.08) | 44.1% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.51% ( 0.08) | 66.48% ( -0.08) |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.71% ( 0.02) | 19.29% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.97% ( 0.02) | 51.03% ( -0.02) |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.07% ( 0.08) | 27.93% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.45% ( 0.1) | 63.55% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Morecambe |
| 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.11% 3-0 @ 4% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.1% 4-0 @ 1.65% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 46.09% | 1-1 @ 11.3% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.39% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.2% | 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.38% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.07% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.81% Total : 29.7% |
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