Crewe
1 - 3
Morecambe

Mandron (49')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Phillips (8'), Gnahoua (28', 85')
Cooney (40'), McLoughlin (79'), Stockton (80')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Crewe Alexandra and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Morecambe win with a probability of 39.7%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 34.05% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Morecambe win was 0-1 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Morecambe would win this match.

Result
Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Morecambe
34.05%	26.24%	39.7%

Both teams to score 53.12%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.54%

51.46%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.73%

73.27%

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.26%

28.73%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.43%

64.57%

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.54%

25.46%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.71%

60.29%

Score Analysis

Crewe Alexandra 34.05%

Morecambe 39.69%

Draw 26.24%

Crewe Alexandra	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 9.12% 2-1 @ 7.78% 2-0 @ 5.69% 3-1 @ 3.24% 3-0 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.21% 4-1 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.63% Total : 34.05%	1-1 @ 12.48% 0-0 @ 7.32% 2-2 @ 5.32% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.24%	0-1 @ 10% 1-2 @ 8.54% 0-2 @ 6.85% 1-3 @ 3.89% 0-3 @ 3.12% 2-3 @ 2.43% 1-4 @ 1.33% 0-4 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.47% Total : 39.69%