Bahia have continuously been able to grind out victories and come up with something special at pivotal moments, and that could be what separates these two sides on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 38.16%. A win for Criciuma had a probability of 35.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.26%) and 0-2 (6.72%). The likeliest Criciuma win was 1-0 (9.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
-0.33) 
0.05) 
