The visitors should be more than comfortable playing in what we believe will be a close game, and we expect their poise in their backline will allow them to fend off any Criciuma attacks on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 39.15%. A win for Criciuma had a probability of 34.85% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest Criciuma win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
Criciuma	Draw	Bahia
34.85% ( -0.13)	26% ( -0.23)	39.15% ( 0.35)

Both teams to score 54.08% (

0.73)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.7% (

0.95)

50.3% (

-0.95)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.75% (

0.83)

72.25% (

-0.83)

Criciuma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

0.38)

27.67% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.77% (

0.48)

63.23% (

-0.48)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.77% (

0.63)

25.23% (

-0.63)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.03% (

0.85)

59.97% (

-0.85)

Score Analysis

Criciuma 34.85%

Bahia 39.15%

Draw 26%

Criciuma	Draw	Bahia
1-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.47% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 34.85%	1-1 @ 12.35% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.27) 2-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.2) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 6.62% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.91% ( 0.1) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.35% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.56% Total : 39.15%