Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 60.26%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Fluminense had a probability of 17.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.03%) and 2-1 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.56%), while for a Fluminense win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Fluminense
60.26% ( -0.4)	22.2% ( 0.08)	17.54% ( 0.32)

Both teams to score 49.9% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.05% (

0.2)

47.95% (

-0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.87% (

0.18)

70.13% (

-0.17)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.52% (

-0.06)

15.49% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.63% (

-0.12)

44.37% (

0.13)

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.05% (

0.51)

40.96% (

-0.51)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.49% (

0.45)

77.52% (

-0.45)

Score Analysis

Bahia 60.26%

Fluminense 17.54%

Draw 22.2%

Bahia	Draw	Fluminense
1-0 @ 11.83% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.86% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.73% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.25% Total : 60.26%	1-1 @ 10.56% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.34% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.9% Total : 22.2%	0-1 @ 5.66% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 2.53% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.92% Total : 17.54%