SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 77.07%. A draw had a probability of 14.2% and a win for Grenada had a probability of 8.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.62%), while for a Grenada win it was 1-2 (2.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curacao | Draw | Grenada |
77.07% ( -0.35) | 14.22% ( 0.14) | 8.71% ( 0.21) |
| Both teams to score 51.34% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.53% ( 0.09) | 32.46% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.89% ( 0.11) | 54.1% ( -0.11) |
| Curacao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.12% ( -0.05) | 6.87% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.73% ( -0.13) | 25.26% ( 0.12) |
| Grenada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.13% ( 0.54) | 44.87% ( -0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.17% ( 0.43) | 80.82% ( -0.43) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curacao | Draw | Grenada |
| 2-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.11) 3-0 @ 9.87% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.04)1-0 @ 8.25% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 6.61% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 5.29% ( -0)5-0 @ 3.54% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.06)5-1 @ 2.84% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.12% ( 0.03)6-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)6-1 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)5-2 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.58% Total : 77.06% | 1-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.55% ( 0.07)0-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.97% Total : 14.22% | 1-2 @ 2.65% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.65% Total : 8.71% |
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