SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| Current League B Group B Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nicaragua | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Dominican Republic | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Barbados | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Montserrat | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 76.19%. A draw had a probability of 14.9% and a win for Barbados had a probability of 8.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.08%) and 1-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.04%), while for a Barbados win it was 0-1 (2.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curacao | Draw | Barbados |
76.19% ( -2.74) | 14.92% ( 1.17) | 8.89% ( 1.57) |
| Both teams to score 49.23% ( 3.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.52% ( 0.14) | 35.47% ( -0.15) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.48% ( 0.15) | 57.52% ( -0.16) |
| Curacao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92.27% ( -0.55) | 7.72% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 72.49% ( -1.4) | 27.5% ( 1.39) |
| Barbados Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.35% ( 3.84) | 46.65% ( -3.85) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.78% ( 2.78) | 82.22% ( -2.79) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curacao | Draw | Barbados |
| 2-0 @ 11.81% ( -0.77) 3-0 @ 10.08% ( -0.96)1-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.33)2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.41)3-1 @ 7.69% ( 0.15)4-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.81)4-1 @ 4.92% ( -0.04)5-0 @ 3.31% ( -0.52)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.36)5-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.18)6-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.27)6-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.07)5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.07)Other @ 2.9% Total : 76.18% | 1-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.51) 0-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.5)Other @ 0.84% Total : 14.92% | 0-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.27) 1-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.45)0-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.2)Other @ 2.41% Total : 8.89% |
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