SM
| Current League A Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panama | 4 | 7 | 10 |
| 2 | Trinidad and Tobago | 4 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Martinique | 4 | -1 | 7 |
| 4 | Guatemala | 4 | -2 | 4 |
| 5 | Curacao | 4 | -1 | 3 |
| 6 | El Salvador | 4 | -4 | 1 |
| Current League C Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Anguilla | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Bonaire | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Saint Martin | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Curacao win with a probability of 50.27%. A win for Saint Martin had a probability of 25.88% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Curacao win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.27%). The likeliest Saint Martin win was 0-1 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Curacao would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Curacao | Draw | Saint Martin |
50.27% ( -3.57) | 23.85% ( 0.26) | 25.88% ( 3.3) |
| Both teams to score 56.36% ( 2.83) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.87% ( 2) | 45.13% ( -2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.52% ( 1.89) | 67.48% ( -1.89) |
| Curacao Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.98% ( -0.59) | 18.01% ( 0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.1% ( -1.02) | 48.89% ( 1.02) |
| Saint Martin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.74% ( 3.92) | 31.25% ( -3.92) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.39% ( 4.32) | 67.6% ( -4.32) |
| Score Analysis |
| Curacao | Draw | Saint Martin |
| 1-0 @ 9.65% ( -1.05) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.16)2-0 @ 8.27% ( -1.09)3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.2)3-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.72)3-2 @ 3.2% ( 0.22)4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.03% ( -0.36)4-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.07)Other @ 3.57% Total : 50.27% | 1-1 @ 11.22% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.63% ( -0.5)2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.49)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.2)Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.85% | 0-1 @ 6.55% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.53% ( 0.68)0-2 @ 3.81% ( 0.46)1-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.49)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0.39)0-3 @ 1.48% ( 0.31)Other @ 2.82% Total : 25.88% |
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