DC United have put together a fine run of results in recent weekend and will be looking to keep the juggernaut rolling. While we expect Mazatlan to put up a fight off the back of a stunning display against Nashville, we are tipping the Black-and-Red to come away with the desired result in front of their home supporters.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 39.49%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 36.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (5.58%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-2 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
0.05) 
-0.03) 
