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Leagues Cup | Group Stage
Aug 1, 2024 at 2am UK
First Tennessee Park

Nashville
0 - 2
Mazatlan


Bunbury (60'), Williams (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Arciga (47', 54')
Rubio (62'), Escoboza (64'), Almada (67'), Del Prete (90+1'), Amarilla (90+1')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 Nashville
Sunday, July 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, July 28 at 1am in Leagues Cup

We said: Nashville SC 1-1 Mazatlan (Nashville wins on penalties)

With neither side looking all that clinical when in possession, we project both will have difficulty finding a decisive breakthrough, but we are trusting the experience of the Boys in Gold in what could be a nail-biting affair to win the day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nashville SC win with a probability of 50.16%. A win for Mazatlan had a probability of 26.13% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nashville SC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.38%) and 2-0 (8.12%). The likeliest Mazatlan win was 1-2 (6.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Nashville SCDrawMazatlan
50.16% (0.226 0.23) 23.71% (0.032 0.03) 26.13% (-0.253 -0.25)
Both teams to score 57.1% (-0.341 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.74% (-0.341 -0.34)44.27% (0.348 0.35)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.36% (-0.33300000000001 -0.33)66.64% (0.339 0.34)
Nashville SC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.27% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)17.73% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.6% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)48.4% (0.081000000000003 0.08)
Mazatlan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.4% (-0.375 -0.38)30.6% (0.381 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.17% (-0.44900000000001 -0.45)66.83% (0.45400000000001 0.45)
Score Analysis
    Nashville SC 50.16%
    Mazatlan 26.13%
    Draw 23.7%
Nashville SCDrawMazatlan
2-1 @ 9.61% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.38% (0.127 0.13)
2-0 @ 8.12% (0.098000000000001 0.1)
3-1 @ 5.54% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.049 0.05)
3-2 @ 3.28% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 2.4% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
4-0 @ 2.03% (0.019 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 3.7%
Total : 50.16%
1-1 @ 11.11% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.69% (-0.051 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.42% (0.081 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.3% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.7%
1-2 @ 6.58% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
0-1 @ 6.42% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.8% (-0.022 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.6% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 26.13%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Philadelphia 3-0 Nashville
Sunday, July 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 0-3 Orlando City
Thursday, July 18 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: DC United 2-1 Nashville
Sunday, July 14 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Portland 4-1 Nashville
Monday, July 8 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-0 Nashville
Thursday, July 4 at 1.45am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Nashville 1-2 Inter Miami
Sunday, June 30 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: New England 1-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, July 28 at 1am in Leagues Cup
Last Game: Guadalajara 2-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, July 21 at 12.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Toluca 3-0 Mazatlan
Thursday, July 18 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Mazatlan 2-2 Atletico San Luis
Saturday, July 13 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Cruz Azul 1-0 Mazatlan
Sunday, July 7 at 4am in Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 1-1 Mazatlan
Sunday, April 28 at 2.10am in Liga MX


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