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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 46.62%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.93%) and 2-0 (6.33%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that DC United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Santos Laguna | Draw | DC United |
46.62% ( 6.85) | 22.72% ( -1.87) | 30.65% ( -4.98) |
| Both teams to score 64.12% ( 5.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.47% ( 7.33) | 36.53% ( -7.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.32% ( 7.57) | 58.68% ( -7.57) |
| Santos Laguna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.88% ( 5.91) | 16.12% ( -5.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.46% ( 9.82) | 45.54% ( -9.82) |
| DC United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.44% ( 0.63) | 23.56% ( -0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.38% ( 0.9) | 57.62% ( -0.91) |
| Score Analysis |
| Santos Laguna | Draw | DC United |
| 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.49) 1-0 @ 6.93% ( -1.13)2-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.23)3-1 @ 5.56% ( 1.2)3-2 @ 4.02% ( 0.93)3-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.77)4-1 @ 2.54% ( 0.89)4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.66)4-0 @ 1.76% ( 0.59)5-1 @ 0.93% ( 0.43)Other @ 3.74% Total : 46.62% | 1-1 @ 10.02% ( -1.42) 2-2 @ 6.61% ( 0.47)0-0 @ 3.8% ( -1.53)3-3 @ 1.94% ( 0.47)Other @ 0.36% Total : 22.72% | 1-2 @ 7.24% ( -0.88) 0-1 @ 5.49% ( -2.07)0-2 @ 3.97% ( -1.4)1-3 @ 3.49% ( -0.35)2-3 @ 3.19% ( 0.28)0-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.63)1-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.1)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.12)Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.65% |
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