Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 59.82%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Deportiva Minera had a probability of 15.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 0-1 with a probability of 16.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.17%) and 1-2 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Deportiva Minera win it was 1-0 (6.9%).