Mallorca have not exactly been free-scoring this season, but they are very strong defensively, and we are expecting the visitors to claim all three points on Friday courtesy of a narrow win, and a victory would move them into fourth spot in the table.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mallorca win with a probability of 40.79%. A draw had a probability of 29.9% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mallorca win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.29%) and 1-2 (7.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.35%), while for an Alaves win it was 1-0 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
-0.1) 
0.15) 
