SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 39.24%. A draw had a probability of 31.4% and a win for Deportivo Riestra had a probability of 29.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.13%) and 1-2 (7.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.64%), while for a Deportivo Riestra win it was 1-0 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Deportivo Riestra | Draw | Lanus |
29.35% ( -0.04) | 31.41% ( -0.02) | 39.24% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 37.78% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 30.21% ( 0.03) | 69.79% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.9% ( 0.02) | 87.1% ( -0.02) |
| Deportivo Riestra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58% ( -0.02) | 42% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.57% ( -0.01) | 78.43% ( 0.02) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.14% ( 0.05) | 34.86% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.4% ( 0.05) | 71.6% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Deportivo Riestra | Draw | Lanus |
| 1-0 @ 12.7% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 5.81% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 1.68% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 2.05% Total : 29.34% | 0-0 @ 14.64% ( -0.01) 1-1 @ 13.38% 2-2 @ 3.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.33% Total : 31.41% | 0-1 @ 15.42% 0-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.01)1-2 @ 7.05% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.86% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.23% |
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