Argentine Primera Division | Gameweek 4
Jun 2, 2024 at 10pm UK
Estadio Dr. Lisandro de la Torre
We said: Rosario Central 1-1 Lanus
There is little to choose between the teams heading into this one and Sunday's clash could easily swing either way. We are backing a share of the spoils with honours even at the end of the 90 minutes.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rosario Central win with a probability of 36.88%. A win for Lanus had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 30.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rosario Central win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.35%) and 2-1 (7.09%). The likeliest Lanus win was 0-1 (12.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result |
| Rosario Central | Draw | Lanus |
36.88% ( 0.13) | 30.67% ( -0.04) | 32.45% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 40.25% ( 0.1) |
| 32.75% ( 0.12) | 67.25% ( -0.12) |
| 14.57% ( 0.08) | 85.43% ( -0.08) |
| 65.01% ( 0.15) | 34.99% ( -0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28.27% ( 0.16) | 71.73% ( -0.16) |
| 61.91% ( 0) | 38.09% ( -0) |
