SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lanus win with a probability of 40.44%. A win for Racing Club had a probability of 31.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lanus win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.34%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Racing Club win was 0-1 (10.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lanus would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lanus | Draw | Racing Club |
40.44% ( -0.24) | 27.6% ( 0.04) | 31.96% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 48.38% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.75% ( -0.09) | 57.24% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.91% ( -0.07) | 78.09% ( 0.07) |
| Lanus Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.26% ( -0.18) | 27.74% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.68% ( -0.23) | 63.32% ( 0.22) |
| Racing Club Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% ( 0.09) | 33.04% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.37% ( 0.11) | 69.63% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lanus | Draw | Racing Club |
| 1-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.87% Total : 40.44% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.17% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.6% | 0-1 @ 10.15% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 5.62% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.66% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 31.96% |
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