SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for Gomel had a probability of 28.72% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest Gomel win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dinamo Minsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dinamo Minsk | Draw | Gomel |
43.25% ( -0.11) | 28.02% ( 0.04) | 28.72% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.86% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.21% ( -0.1) | 59.79% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.93% ( -0.08) | 80.07% ( 0.08) |
| Dinamo Minsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% ( -0.11) | 27.42% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.1% ( -0.14) | 62.9% ( 0.14) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.18% ( 0.01) | 36.82% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.39% ( 0) | 73.6% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dinamo Minsk | Draw | Gomel |
| 1-0 @ 13.06% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.65% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.83% Total : 43.25% | 1-1 @ 13.05% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.02% | 0-1 @ 10.08% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.17% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.41% ( -0)Other @ 1.82% Total : 28.72% |
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