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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 8, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadyen Traktar
LR
Lincoln Red Imps

Dinamo Minsk
2 - 0
Lincoln

Gavrilovich (36'), Igor de Sousa Carneiro Martins (87')
Pigas (26'), Alfred (49'), Rai (55')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ayew (14'), Torilla (43')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 1-0 Ludogorets
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Qarabag 5-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, July 30 at 5pm in Champions League

We said: Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Lincoln Red Imps

Although Minsk did concede numerous shots when they were eliminated from the Champions League qualifiers, they should still come into Thursday's clash as favourites given they were at least competitive against Ludogorets. On the other hand, Lincoln rarely do well in European competitions, and it would be a surprise to see them avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 50.43%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 24.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.88%), while for a Lincoln Red Imps win it was 0-1 (7.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Dinamo Minsk in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Dinamo Minsk.

Result
Dinamo MinskDrawLincoln Red Imps
50.43%24.99%24.58%
Both teams to score 51.46%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.01%50.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.14%72.86%
Dinamo Minsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.77%20.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.44%52.55%
Lincoln Red Imps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5%35.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.74%72.25%
Score Analysis
    Dinamo Minsk 50.43%
    Lincoln Red Imps 24.58%
    Draw 24.98%
Dinamo MinskDrawLincoln Red Imps
1-0 @ 11.47%
2-1 @ 9.5%
2-0 @ 9.17%
3-1 @ 5.06%
3-0 @ 4.88%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 2.02%
4-0 @ 1.95%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 50.43%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 7.18%
2-2 @ 4.92%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 24.98%
0-1 @ 7.44%
1-2 @ 6.16%
0-2 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 2.13%
2-3 @ 1.7%
0-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.98%
Total : 24.58%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 1-0 Ludogorets
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ludogorets 2-0 Dinamo Minsk
Wednesday, July 24 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Pyunik 0-1 Dinamo Minsk
Tuesday, July 16 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 0-0 Pyunik
Wednesday, July 10 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 1-0 Dinamo Brest
Thursday, July 4 at 6pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: BATE 0-2 Dinamo Minsk
Saturday, June 29 at 6pm in Belarusian Premier League
Last Game: Qarabag 5-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, July 30 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lincoln 0-2 Qarabag
Tuesday, July 23 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Hamrun Spartans (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, July 16 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, July 9 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lincoln 1-3 KF Ballkani
Thursday, August 17 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: KF Ballkani 2-0 Lincoln
Thursday, August 10 at 7.45pm in Europa Conference League


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