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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 52.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Smorgon had a probability of 22.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Smorgon win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Gomel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gomel | Draw | Smorgon |
52.97% ( -0.04) | 24.06% ( 0.02) | 22.97% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.54% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.31% ( -0.04) | 48.69% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.2% ( -0.04) | 70.8% ( 0.04) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.67% ( -0.03) | 18.33% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.57% ( -0.05) | 49.42% ( 0.05) |
| Smorgon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.32% ( 0) | 35.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.56% ( 0) | 72.44% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Gomel | Draw | Smorgon |
| 1-0 @ 11.09% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( -0)2-0 @ 9.41% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.26% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 3.34% Total : 52.97% | 1-1 @ 11.43% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.05% | 0-1 @ 6.74% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.47% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 1.93% Total : 22.97% |
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