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Europa League | Third Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Aug 15, 2024 at 5pm UK
Victoria Stadium

Lincoln
2 - 1
Dinamo Minsk

De Barr (30'), Pigas (78' og.)
Oliver (51'), Ayew (64'), Bent (82')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Alfred (54')
Shkolik (19'), Sedko (64'), Adeola (90+3')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Lincoln
Thursday, August 8 at 7.45pm in Europa League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Lincoln
Thursday, August 8 at 7.45pm in Europa League

We said: Lincoln Red Imps 0-3 Dinamo Minsk (Minsk win 5-0 on aggregate)

Minsk's lead will almost certainly prove too much for Lincoln to overcome, and they could be vulnerable to counter-attacks when trying to break the visitors down. Additionally, given Lincoln have lost their last four matches without scoring, it would not be surprising if they failed once again to get on the scoresheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dinamo Minsk win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Lincoln Red Imps had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dinamo Minsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.85%). The likeliest Lincoln Red Imps win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.8% likelihood.

Result
Lincoln Red ImpsDrawDinamo Minsk
34.25% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04) 26.55% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02) 39.2% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 52.16% (0.064999999999998 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.29% (0.088000000000001 0.09)52.71% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.65% (0.075999999999997 0.08)74.35% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)
Lincoln Red Imps Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.78% (0.016999999999996 0.02)29.22% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.83% (0.021000000000001 0.02)65.17% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Dinamo Minsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.69% (0.075999999999993 0.08)26.31% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.56% (0.101 0.1)61.43% (-0.1 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Lincoln Red Imps 34.25%
    Dinamo Minsk 39.19%
    Draw 26.54%
Lincoln Red ImpsDrawDinamo Minsk
1-0 @ 9.46% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 5.82% (-0.015 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.39% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.25%
1-1 @ 12.62% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.69% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.19% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.54%
0-1 @ 10.26% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.43% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.85% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 3.75% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 3.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.25% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 39.19%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Lincoln
Thursday, August 8 at 7.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Qarabag 5-0 Lincoln
Tuesday, July 30 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lincoln 0-2 Qarabag
Tuesday, July 23 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lincoln 0-1 Hamrun Spartans (5-4 pen.)
Tuesday, July 16 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hamrun Spartans 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, July 9 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lincoln 1-3 KF Ballkani
Thursday, August 17 at 5pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 2-0 Lincoln
Thursday, August 8 at 7.45pm in Europa League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 1-0 Ludogorets
Wednesday, July 31 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Ludogorets 2-0 Dinamo Minsk
Wednesday, July 24 at 7pm in Champions League
Last Game: Pyunik 0-1 Dinamo Minsk
Tuesday, July 16 at 5pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 0-0 Pyunik
Wednesday, July 10 at 7.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Dinamo Minsk 1-0 Dinamo Brest
Thursday, July 4 at 6pm in Belarusian Premier League


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