SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gomel win with a probability of 41.75%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 30.54% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gomel win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (7.92%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-0 (10.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Gomel in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Gomel |
30.54% ( -0.01) | 27.71% ( -0.01) | 41.75% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.56% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.96% ( 0.04) | 58.04% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.28% ( 0.03) | 78.72% ( -0.03) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.51% ( 0.02) | 34.48% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.8% ( 0.02) | 71.2% ( -0.02) |
| Gomel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.6% ( 0.03) | 27.4% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.12% ( 0.04) | 62.87% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Gomel |
| 1-0 @ 10.06% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.36% ( -0)3-1 @ 2.46% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.9% ( -0)3-2 @ 1.59% ( 0)Other @ 2.24% Total : 30.54% | 1-1 @ 13.02% 0-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.71% | 0-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0)0-2 @ 7.92% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.64% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.42% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 1.89% Total : 41.74% |
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