SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 51.22%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 23.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Dnepr Mogilev win it was 1-0 (7.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slutsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Slutsk |
23.52% ( 0.39) | 25.25% ( 0) | 51.22% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 49.56% ( 0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.06% ( 0.34) | 52.93% ( -0.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.46% ( 0.29) | 74.54% ( -0.29) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.48% ( 0.55) | 37.51% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.7% ( 0.54) | 74.3% ( -0.53) |
| Slutsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.32% ( -0.02) | 20.67% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.73% ( -0.04) | 53.26% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dnepr Mogilev | Draw | Slutsk |
| 1-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.09)2-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 1.92% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.51% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 1.22% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.67% Total : 23.52% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.76% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.63% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.24% | 0-1 @ 12.22% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 9.64% ( -0.14)1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0)0-3 @ 5.06% ( -0.08)1-3 @ 4.96% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 2% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.96% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 51.22% |
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