SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win with a probability of 42.13%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 31.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal Dzerzhinsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
42.13% ( -0.08) | 26.32% ( 0.05) | 31.55% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 52.12% ( -0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.59% ( -0.22) | 52.41% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.91% ( -0.19) | 74.09% ( 0.19) |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( -0.14) | 24.62% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.87% ( -0.19) | 59.13% ( 0.19) |
| Dnepr Mogilev Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.15% ( -0.09) | 30.85% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.87% ( -0.11) | 67.13% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Arsenal Dzerzhinsk | Draw | Dnepr Mogilev |
| 1-0 @ 10.64% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.46% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.22% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.12% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.6% ( 0.07)2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.32% | 0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.06% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.03% Total : 31.55% |
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