Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 47.06%. A win for Dnepr Mogilev had a probability of 27.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Dnepr Mogilev win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
