SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Slutsk win with a probability of 39.89%. A win for Naftan had a probability of 33.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Slutsk win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Naftan win was 1-0 (9.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Slutsk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Naftan | Draw | Slutsk |
33.55% ( -0.54) | 26.55% ( -0.08) | 39.89% ( 0.62) |
| Both teams to score 52.03% ( 0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.19% ( 0.24) | 52.81% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.57% ( 0.21) | 74.43% ( -0.2) |
| Naftan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.29% ( -0.22) | 29.71% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.23% ( -0.27) | 65.77% ( 0.28) |
| Slutsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.02% ( 0.45) | 25.97% ( -0.45) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.01% ( 0.61) | 60.99% ( -0.6) |
| Score Analysis |
| Naftan | Draw | Slutsk |
| 1-0 @ 9.37% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.07)2-0 @ 5.68% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 3.1% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.42% Total : 33.55% | 1-1 @ 12.62% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 5.17% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.54% | 0-1 @ 10.4% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.09)2-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.04)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.89% |
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