SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dordrecht win with a probability of 51.53%. A win for Telstar had a probability of 25.84% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dordrecht win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Telstar win was 1-2 (6.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dordrecht would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dordrecht | Draw | Telstar |
51.53% ( 0.09) | 22.62% ( -0.01) | 25.84% ( -0.08) |
| Both teams to score 60.57% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.45% ( -0.01) | 39.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.1% ( -0.01) | 61.89% ( 0.01) |
| Dordrecht Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.5% ( 0.03) | 15.49% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.62% ( 0.05) | 44.38% ( -0.05) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.67% ( -0.07) | 28.32% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.94% ( -0.08) | 64.05% ( 0.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dordrecht | Draw | Telstar |
| 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.63% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.98% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.74% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.77% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.79% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.76% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 3.8% Total : 51.53% | 1-1 @ 10.32% 2-2 @ 6.07% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.39% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.62% | 1-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.54% Total : 25.84% |
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