SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Telstar win with a probability of 53.9%. A win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 24.24% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Telstar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest VVV-Venlo win was 1-2 (6.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Telstar would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Telstar | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
53.9% ( -0.05) | 21.85% ( 0.02) | 24.24% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.58% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.55% ( -0.05) | 37.45% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.33% ( -0.06) | 59.67% ( 0.06) |
| Telstar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.02% ( -0.04) | 13.97% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.53% ( -0.07) | 41.47% ( 0.07) |
| VVV-Venlo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.58% | 28.42% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.83% ( -0) | 64.17% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Telstar | Draw | VVV-Venlo |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.69% 3-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.97% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0)5-0 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 3.56% Total : 53.9% | 1-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.85% | 1-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 3.14% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.55% 0-3 @ 1.32% ( 0)Other @ 3.46% Total : 24.25% |
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