SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 52.18%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 25.17% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.45%) and 2-0 (7.87%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-2 (6.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | St Johnstone |
52.18% ( -0.08) | 22.65% ( 0.01) | 25.17% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 59.79% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.73% ( 0.05) | 40.27% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.36% ( 0.05) | 62.64% ( -0.05) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.47% ( -0.01) | 15.53% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.55% ( -0.02) | 44.45% ( 0.02) |
| St Johnstone Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.78% ( 0.09) | 29.22% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.83% ( 0.11) | 65.16% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | St Johnstone |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.45% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.87% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.01% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.89% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.7% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.28% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.72% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0)Other @ 3.75% Total : 52.18% | 1-1 @ 10.39% 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.24% Total : 22.64% | 1-2 @ 6.4% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.58% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.43% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.62% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.29% Total : 25.17% |
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