Such a pivotal game at the bottom of the standings should lead to a fiery spectacle on Saturday, but Dundee continue to struggle in front of their own fans while St Johnstone flatter to deceive away. There should be no repeat of the seven-goal drubbing from Celtic Park for the visitors, who did pick up some crucial wins beforehand, and we think this basement battle has a low-scoring draw written all over it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 31.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 0-1 (11.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Dundee	Draw	St Johnstone
39.57%	28.79%	31.63%

Both teams to score 44.92%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

38.48%

61.51%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

18.62%

81.38%

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.68%

30.31%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.5%

66.49%

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.47%

35.53%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.7%

72.3%

Score Analysis

Dundee 39.57%

St Johnstone 31.63%

Draw 28.79%

Dundee	Draw	St Johnstone
1-0 @ 12.85% 2-1 @ 7.94% 2-0 @ 7.67% 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 3.05% 3-2 @ 1.63% 4-1 @ 0.94% 4-0 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.41% Total : 39.57%	1-1 @ 13.3% 0-0 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 4.11% Other @ 0.61% Total : 28.79%	0-1 @ 11.14% 1-2 @ 6.88% 0-2 @ 5.77% 1-3 @ 2.37% 0-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 2.06% Total : 31.63%