SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee win with a probability of 51.45%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-2 (6.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee | Draw | Kilmarnock |
51.45% ( 0.95) | 23.1% ( -0.52) | 25.46% ( -0.43) |
| Both teams to score 58.52% ( 1.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.92% ( 1.97) | 42.08% ( -1.97) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.52% ( 1.95) | 64.49% ( -1.94) |
| Dundee Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.56% ( 1.08) | 16.44% ( -1.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.88% ( 1.91) | 46.12% ( -1.91) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( 0.71) | 29.97% ( -0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.92% ( 0.84) | 66.08% ( -0.84) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.89% ( -0.47)2-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.23)3-0 @ 4.83% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 2.63% ( 0.19)4-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.12)4-2 @ 1.58% ( 0.14)5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.1)Other @ 3.34% Total : 51.45% | 1-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.35) 2-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.14)0-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.45)3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.09% | 1-2 @ 6.46% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 5.94% ( -0.41)0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.1)0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.11% Total : 25.46% |
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