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National League | Gameweek 12
Sep 28, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Stonebridge Road
OA

Ebbsfleet
1 - 2
Oldham

Poleon (81' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-0)
Kitching (48'), Khan (85')
Uchegbulam (90+4'), Hudson (90+2')
Coverage of the National League clash between Ebbsfleet and Oldham Athletic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maidenhead 2-1 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-0 Forest Green
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.

Result
EbbsfleetDrawOldham Athletic
31.51% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09) 26.06% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 42.43% (0.115 0.12)
Both teams to score 52.95% (0.056000000000004 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.66% (0.087999999999994 0.09)51.33% (-0.084999999999994 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.84% (0.076999999999998 0.08)73.16% (-0.072999999999993 -0.07)
Ebbsfleet Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.67% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)30.33% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.48% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)66.52% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76% (0.097999999999999 0.1)23.99% (-0.093 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.76% (0.13800000000001 0.14)58.24% (-0.134 -0.13)
Score Analysis
    Ebbsfleet 31.51%
    Oldham Athletic 42.42%
    Draw 26.06%
EbbsfleetDrawOldham Athletic
1-0 @ 8.68% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 7.39% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 5.18% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.94% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 31.51%
1-1 @ 12.39% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.28% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.28% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 10.38% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.85% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 7.41% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 4.21% (0.019 0.02)
0-3 @ 3.53% (0.018 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.51% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.011 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 42.42%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Maidenhead 2-1 Ebbsfleet
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Sutton 3-2 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 1-0 Hartlepool
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-0 Aldershot
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 4-0 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Ebbsfleet 0-1 Halifax
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-0 Forest Green
Tuesday, September 24 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-0 Yeovil
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Woking 1-3 Oldham
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 1-1 Oldham
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-1 Southend
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 1-1 Oldham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League


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