Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 47.19%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 26.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.16%) and 0-2 (8.77%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (8.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
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