SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oldham Athletic win with a probability of 42.43%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.41%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Oldham Athletic would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
31.51% ( -0.09) | 26.06% ( -0.03) | 42.43% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.95% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.66% ( 0.09) | 51.33% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.84% ( 0.08) | 73.16% ( -0.07) |
| Ebbsfleet Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.67% ( -0.01) | 30.33% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.48% ( -0.02) | 66.52% ( 0.02) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76% ( 0.1) | 23.99% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.76% ( 0.14) | 58.24% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ebbsfleet | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.18% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.16% Total : 31.51% | 1-1 @ 12.39% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.28% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.06% | 0-1 @ 10.38% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 7.41% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.21% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.53% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.78% Total : 42.42% |
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