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National League | Gameweek 11
Sep 24, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Boundary Park
FG

Oldham
1 - 0
Forest Green

Fondop (9')
Raglan (45+2'), Monthe (68')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Moore-Taylor (77'), McCann (78')
Coverage of the National League clash between Oldham Athletic and Forest Green Rovers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oldham 1-0 Yeovil
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 0-2 Forest Green
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 36.84%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 35.09% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.83%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-0 (11.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Oldham AthleticDrawForest Green Rovers
35.09% (0.866 0.87) 28.07% (0.389 0.39) 36.84% (-1.249 -1.25)
Both teams to score 47.55% (-1.08 -1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.46% (-1.38 -1.38)58.55% (1.387 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.88% (-1.089 -1.09)79.12% (1.095 1.1)
Oldham Athletic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.41% (-0.134 -0.13)31.6% (0.14 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32% (-0.158 -0.16)68% (0.164 0.16)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.51% (-1.434 -1.43)30.49% (1.44 1.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.3% (-1.738 -1.74)66.7% (1.744 1.74)
Score Analysis
    Oldham Athletic 35.08%
    Forest Green Rovers 36.84%
    Draw 28.07%
Oldham AthleticDrawForest Green Rovers
1-0 @ 11.09% (0.53 0.53)
2-1 @ 7.6% (0.04 0.04)
2-0 @ 6.39% (0.282 0.28)
3-1 @ 2.92% (0.004 0)
3-0 @ 2.46% (0.1 0.1)
3-2 @ 1.73% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.08%
1-1 @ 13.18% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 9.63% (0.495 0.49)
2-2 @ 4.51% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 0.75%
Total : 28.07%
0-1 @ 11.44% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 7.83% (-0.245 -0.24)
0-2 @ 6.8% (-0.186 -0.19)
1-3 @ 3.1% (-0.227 -0.23)
0-3 @ 2.69% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-3 @ 1.79% (-0.138 -0.14)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 36.84%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Oldham 1-0 Yeovil
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Woking 1-3 Oldham
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Halifax 1-1 Oldham
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-1 Southend
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Altrincham 1-1 Oldham
Saturday, August 31 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 1-1 Gateshead
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Gateshead 0-2 Forest Green
Saturday, September 21 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Forest Green 2-2 Wealdstone
Saturday, September 14 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Forest Green 3-0 Fylde
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in National League
Last Game: Solihull 0-1 Forest Green
Saturday, September 7 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Sutton 1-2 Forest Green
Saturday, August 31 at 5.30pm in National League
Last Game: Forest Green 2-1 Altrincham
Monday, August 26 at 3pm in National League


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