SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Altrincham win with a probability of 40.72%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Altrincham win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.66%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 0-1 (8.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Altrincham | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
40.72% ( 0.03) | 26.19% ( -0.01) | 33.08% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 53.05% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.55% ( 0.04) | 51.45% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.74% ( 0.03) | 73.26% ( -0.03) |
| Altrincham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.08% ( 0.03) | 24.92% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.46% ( 0.04) | 59.54% ( -0.05) |
| Oldham Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.65% ( 0.01) | 29.34% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.68% ( 0.01) | 65.32% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Altrincham | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 10.16% 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.27% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.39% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.58% Total : 40.72% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.31% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 8.96% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0)0-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.12% 0-3 @ 2.25% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.17% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.49% Total : 33.08% |
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