SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a East Fife win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Edinburgh City had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a East Fife win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Edinburgh City win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that East Fife would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Edinburgh City | Draw | East Fife |
22.86% ( 0.06) | 23.49% ( 0.03) | 53.64% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 54.19% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.57% ( -0.07) | 46.42% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.29% ( -0.07) | 68.7% ( 0.06) |
| Edinburgh City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.48% ( 0.02) | 34.52% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.77% ( 0.02) | 71.23% ( -0.02) |
| East Fife Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.76% ( -0.06) | 17.23% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.46% ( -0.11) | 47.53% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Edinburgh City | Draw | East Fife |
| 1-0 @ 6.33% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.92% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.37% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.1% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.85% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.11% Total : 22.86% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.2% 3-3 @ 1.08% ( -0)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.49% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0)0-2 @ 9.2% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 5.39% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 2.37% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.81% Total : 53.64% |
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